What they need out of this weekend:
- A vote of more than 80% for John Cummins, ideally over 90%. If John Cummins gets less than 70% he is mortally wounded and needs to step aside. The problem is if the result is between 70% and 80%, good enough to keep him but still a party very much divided.
- They need a very good turn out at the AGM, the rooms needed to be packed. Ideally they need more than 1000 people to show up
- The party needs some new people of some public stature to be at the AGM - Brain Peckford and Randy White are old news. They need mayors of decent sized municipalities showing up.
- They need to show that they can raise real money - they need have some event at the AGM that shows they can raise $20,000 in a night.
I am not convinced that other than a decent vote in favour of John Cummins much will come out of the AGM. At best I think the Conservatives will come out of the AGM limping, at worst the party will effectively be over as a serious political force in BC for the 2013 election.
The BC Conservatives have had 16 months since John Cummins became leader to build a strong party for the 2013 election, it has not happened. The AGM will not change that.